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Reims vs Red Star Prediction— France - Ligue 2

Regular Season - 31 ·Saturday, April 18, 2026, 12:00

Reims

PPG 1.79 · HOME

3 – 2

FULL TIME

Red Star

PPG 1.71 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.5%0-111.6%0-27.1%0-32.9%0-4+1.1%1 1-010.8%1-113.1%1-28.0%1-33.2%1-4+1.3%2 2-06.1%2-17.5%2-24.5%2-31.8%2-4+0.7%3 3-02.3%3-12.8%3-21.7%3-30.7%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-00.8%4+-11.0%4+-20.6%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 34.0% 52.6% 1.90 -35.4%

Draw 28.0% 29.9% 3.35 -6.2%

Away win 38.1% 24.4% 4.10 +56.2%

Over 2.5 41.7% 47.6% 2.10 -12.4%

Over 3.5 21.1% 26.0% 3.85 -18.8%

BTTS 47.7% 54.1% 1.85 -11.8%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 35 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%

O2.5 66%

BTTS 60%

Score Hit 40%

ROI 24.9%

Bet Hit 72%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 34%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-2

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob47.7%

D 28% / xG 1.1-1.2 / U2.5 42% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.1%

#2 0–1 11.6%

#3 1–0 10.8%

#4 0–0 9.5%

#5 1–2 8.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Reims1.1

Red Star1.2

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 41.7% · O3.5 PROB 21.1%

Form & verdict PPG

REIMS · PPG 1.79

RED STAR · PPG 1.71

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.79), Away GOOD (1.71)

Win probability 1X2

Reims (H) 34.0%

ODDS 1.90 · IMPLIED 52.6% EV -35.4%

Draw 28.0%

ODDS 3.35 · IMPLIED 29.9% EV -6.2%

Red Star (A) 38.1%

ODDS 4.10 · IMPLIED 24.4% EV +56.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Reims face Red Star in France - Ligue 2 on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Reims a 34% chance, the draw 28% and Red Star 38%, so Red Star are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Reims and 1.2 for Red Star (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 42% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Reims are averaging 1.79 points per game versus 1.71 for Red Star. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +56.2%. This match finished 3-2.

Reims vs Red Star Prediction— France - Ligue 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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