Dubrava Zagreb vs Orijent Prediction & Tips

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Croatia - First NL Regular Season - 30 SRC Pescenica· Zagreb Saturday, May 9, 2026 15:00

Dubrava Zagreb PPG 1.53

1-0 HIT CS3

Orijent PPG 1.07

Home· +13.2% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 36.5%

Odds: 3.10 EV: +13.2%

Draw 27.9%

Odds: 3.00 EV: -9.8%

Away 35.6%

Odds: 2.10 EV: -25.2%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 46.5% Odds: 2.05 -4.7%

Over 3.5 21.8% Odds: 3.34 -16.3%

BTTS 52.3% Odds: 1.75 -8.5%

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 0-0 ✘

3rd 1-0 ✔

4th 0-1 ✘

5th 2-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Dubrava Zagreb

1.20

Orijent

1.18

Model SuggestionBTTS -8.5% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -8.5% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Home (+13.2%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.53) > Away AVERAGE (1.07)