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SV Horn vs Kremser Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - Ost

Ost - 30 ·Saturday, May 9, 2026, 15:00

SV Horn

PPG 2.00 · HOME

2 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Kremser

PPG 1.85 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 52.3% vs bookmaker-implied 59.9%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.3%0-111.1%0-26.6%0-32.6%0-4+1.0%1 1-011.0%1-113.1%1-27.8%1-33.1%1-4+1.2%2 2-06.5%2-17.8%2-24.6%2-31.8%2-4+0.7%3 3-02.6%3-13.1%3-21.8%3-30.7%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-01.0%4+-11.2%4+-20.7%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 36.4% 34.5% 2.90 +5.6%

Draw 28.0% 30.3% 3.30 -4.6%

Away win 35.6% 47.6% 2.10 -25.2%

Over 2.5 46.5% 57.8% 1.73 -19.6%

Over 3.5 21.6% 32.5% 3.08 -20.1%

BTTS 52.3% 59.9% 1.67 -12.7%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 48 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 52%

Score Hit 13%

ROI -8.5%

Bet Hit 64%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 2 29%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-0

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob52.3%

D 28% / xG 1.2-1.2 / U2.5 46% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.1%

#2 0–0 9.3%

#3 0–1 11.1%

#4 1–0 11.0%

#5 1–2 7.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

SV Horn1.2

Kremser1.2

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.5% · O3.5 PROB 21.6%

Form & verdict PPG

SV HORN · PPG 2.00

KREMSER · PPG 1.85

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home EXCELLENT (2.00), Away GOOD (1.85)

Win probability 1X2

SV Horn (H) 36.4%

ODDS 2.90 · IMPLIED 34.5% EV +5.6%

Draw 28.0%

ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV -4.6%

Kremser (A) 35.6%

ODDS 2.10 · IMPLIED 47.6% EV -25.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

SV Horn face Kremser in Austria - Regionalliga - Ost on Saturday, May 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives SV Horn a 36% chance, the draw 28% and Kremser 36%, so SV Horn are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for SV Horn and 1.2 for Kremser (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, SV Horn are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.85 for Kremser. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +5.6%. This match finished 2-0.

SV Horn vs Kremser Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - Ost

Match Preview & Prediction

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