Lugano B vs Grand-Saconnex Prediction & Tips

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Switzerland - 1. Liga Promotion Regular Season - 31 Centro Sportivo Al Maglio· Canobbio Saturday, May 9, 2026 14:30

Lugano B PPG 1.33

0-3 MISS

Grand-Saconnex PPG 0.87

Home· +35.5% ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

75% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 35.2%

Odds: 3.85 EV: +35.5%

Draw 24.1%

Odds: 3.80 EV: -5.1%

Away 40.6%

Odds: 1.73 EV: -29.8%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 61.7% Odds: 1.45 -10.5%

Over 3.5 58.3% Odds: 2.15 +25.3%

BTTS 63.0% Odds: 1.44 -9.3%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 1-2 ✘

3rd 2-2 ✘

4th 2-1 ✘

5th 1-3 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Lugano B

1.88

Grand-Saconnex

2.21

Model SuggestionBTTS -9.3% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-9.3%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

75%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.33) > Away POOR (0.87)