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Spain - Primera División RFEF - Group 2 Saturday, May 9, 2026 14:15 
Hercules PPG 2.12 
UD Ibiza PPG 1.06
Spain - Primera División RFEF - Group 2 Saturday, May 9, 2026 14:15 Hercules PPG 2.122-1 MISS
UD Ibiza PPG 1.06Home· +10.2% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
66% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 35.1% Odds: 2.20 -22.8%
Over 3.5 10.6% Odds: 3.95 -34.9%
BTTS 46.8% Odds: 1.80 -15.8%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st 0-0 ✘
2nd 1-1 ✘
3rd 1-0 ✘
4th 0-1 ✘
5th 2-0 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Hercules 0.98
UD Ibiza 0.80
Model Suggestion
No Bet NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME 66%
Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.12) vs P(Home)=38.0%