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FC Zurich B vs Vevey Sports Prediction— Switzerland - 1. Liga Promotion

Regular Season - 31 ·Saturday, May 9, 2026, 14:00

FC Zurich B

PPG 0.87 · HOME

8 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Vevey Sports

PPG 0.13 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 64.7% vs bookmaker-implied 84.7%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.6%0-11.6%0-20.8%0-30.3%0-4+0.1%1 1-05.0%1-15.0%1-22.5%1-30.8%1-4+0.3%2 2-07.9%2-17.9%2-23.9%2-31.3%2-4+0.4%3 3-08.2%3-18.2%3-24.1%3-31.4%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-014.1%4+-114.1%4+-27.0%4+-32.3%4+-4+0.7%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 64.7% 84.7% 1.18 -23.6%

Draw 21.6% 16.1% 6.20 +20.3%

Away win 13.7% 9.1% 11.00 +30.4%

Over 2.5 61.7% 82.0% 1.22 -24.7%

Over 3.5 59.2% 61.7% 1.62 -4.1%

BTTS 58.8% 62.5% 1.60 -5.9%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 67 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5 70%

BTTS 60%

Score Hit 33%

ROI -3.6%

Bet Hit 69%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 58%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 8-1

xG (home)3.1 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob58.8%

H 65% / xG 3.1-1.0 / O2.5 62% / BTTS 59%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–0 8.2%

#2 3–1 8.2%

#3 2–0 7.9%

#4 2–1 7.9%

#5 4–0 6.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

FC Zurich B3.1

Vevey Sports1.0

COMBINED 4.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.7% · O3.5 PROB 59.2%

Form & verdict PPG

FC ZURICH B · PPG 0.87

VEVEY SPORTS · PPG 0.13

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: POOR (0.87) > Away POOR (0.13)

Win probability 1X2

FC Zurich B (H) 64.7%

ODDS 1.18 · IMPLIED 84.7% EV -23.6%

Draw 21.6%

ODDS 6.20 · IMPLIED 16.1% EV +20.3%

Vevey Sports (A) 13.7%

ODDS 11.00 · IMPLIED 9.1% EV +30.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

FC Zurich B face Vevey Sports in Switzerland - 1. Liga Promotion on Saturday, May 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives FC Zurich B a 65% chance, the draw 22% and Vevey Sports 14%, so FC Zurich B are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.1 for FC Zurich B and 1.0 for Vevey Sports (4.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-0. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, FC Zurich B are averaging 0.87 points per game versus 0.13 for Vevey Sports. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +30.4%. This match finished 8-1.

FC Zurich B vs Vevey Sports Prediction— Switzerland - 1. Liga Promotion

Match Preview & Prediction

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