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Switzerland - 1. Liga Promotion logo Switzerland flag Switzerland - 1. Liga Promotion Regular Season - 31 Stade des Peupliers· Bavois Saturday, May 9, 2026 14:00
Bavois logo Bavois PPG 1.80
2-1 HIT CS2
Lausanne B logo Lausanne B PPG 0.47
Over3.5· +18.2% ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
80% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 58.0%
Odds: 1.65 EV: -4.3%
Draw 20.7%
Odds: 4.40 EV: -5.3%
Away 21.3%
Odds: 3.70 EV: -12.7%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 70.9% Odds: 1.28 -9.3%
Over 3.5 66.8% Odds: 1.77 +18.2%
BTTS 63.0% Odds: 1.33 -16.2%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 3-1
2nd 2-1
3rd 4-1
4th 3-2
5th 1-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Bavois
3.12
Lausanne B
1.44

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -9.3% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-9.3%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
80%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.80) vs P(Home)=58.0%

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