Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 70.9% Odds: 1.28 -9.3%
Over 3.5 66.8% Odds: 1.77 +18.2%
BTTS 63.0% Odds: 1.33 -16.2%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st 3-1 ✘
2nd 2-1 ✔
3rd 4-1 ✘
4th 3-2 ✘
5th 1-1 ✘
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5 -9.3% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-9.3%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.
Verdict & Form
✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.80) vs P(Home)=58.0%