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Croatia - HNL logo Croatia flag Croatia - HNL Regular Season - 34 Stadion Maksimir· Zagreb Saturday, May 9, 2026 14:00
Dinamo Zagreb logo Dinamo Zagreb PPG 2.56
2-0 HIT CS3
Hajduk Split logo Hajduk Split PPG 1.81
Away· +8.5% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 49.3%
Odds: 1.64 EV: -19.1%
Draw 25.6%
Odds: 3.85 EV: -0.9%
Away 25.1%
Odds: 4.55 EV: +8.5%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 57.5% Odds: 1.60 -8.0%
Over 3.5 32.4% Odds: 2.50 -19.0%
BTTS 54.6% Odds: 1.57 -14.3%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-1
3rd 2-0
4th 1-0
5th 0-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Dinamo Zagreb
1.85
Hajduk Split
1.02

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -8.0% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -8.0% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+8.5%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record

Based on 34 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 62%
O2.5/Under 71%
BTTS/No 50%
Score Hit 62%
ROI -28.6%
Bet Hit 29% (7 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.56) > Away GOOD (1.81)

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