St. Mirren vs Kilmarnock Prediction & Tips

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Scotland - Premiership Relegation Group - 36 The SMISA Stadium· Paisley Saturday, May 9, 2026 14:00

St. Mirren PPG 1.18

0-3 MISS

Kilmarnock PPG 0.53

Draw· +7.9% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 41.3%

Odds: 1.97 EV: -18.6%

Draw 30.4%

Odds: 3.55 EV: +7.9%

Away 28.3%

Odds: 3.60 EV: +1.1%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 45.8% Odds: 1.80 -17.6%

Over 3.5 18.9% Odds: 3.00 -26.0%

BTTS 52.3% Odds: 1.67 -12.7%

O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 0-0 ✘

3rd 1-0 ✘

4th 0-1 ✘

5th 2-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

St. Mirren

1.22

Kilmarnock

1.02

Model SuggestionBTTS -12.7% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -12.7% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Draw (+7.9%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.18) > Away POOR (0.53)