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Scotland - Premiership logo Scotland flag Scotland - Premiership Championship Group - 36 Falkirk Stadium· Falkirk Saturday, May 9, 2026 14:00
Falkirk logo Falkirk PPG 1.44
1-3 MISS
Hibernian logo Hibernian PPG 1.24
Away· +6.8% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
42% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 37.0%
Odds: 2.22 EV: -17.9%
Draw 26.9%
Odds: 3.55 EV: -2.7%
Away 36.2%
Odds: 2.95 EV: +6.8%
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 52.8% Odds: 1.70 -10.2%
Over 3.5 28.1% Odds: 2.80 -12.8%
BTTS 54.6% Odds: 1.60 -12.6%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 0-0
3rd 1-2
4th 2-1
5th 0-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Falkirk
1.32
Hibernian
1.36

Model Suggestion

BTTS -12.6% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -12.6% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+6.8%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record

Based on 30 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%
O2.5/Under 70%
BTTS/No 63%
Score Hit 30%
ROI 1.4%
Bet Hit 60% (5 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.44), Away AVERAGE (1.24)

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