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Scotland - Premiership logo Scotland flag Scotland - Premiership Relegation Group - 36 Dens Park· Dundee Saturday, May 9, 2026 14:00
Dundee FC logo Dundee FC PPG 1.47
3-0 MISS
Livingston logo Livingston PPG 0.50
Away· +9.7% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 48.0%
Odds: 1.73 EV: -17.0%
Draw 26.3%
Odds: 3.70 EV: -1.6%
Away 25.8%
Odds: 4.50 EV: +9.7%
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 53.1% Odds: 1.83 -2.8%
Over 3.5 29.8% Odds: 3.10 -4.6%
BTTS 54.6% Odds: 1.77 -3.4%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-1
3rd 1-0
4th 2-0
5th 0-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Dundee FC
1.62
Livingston
1.13

Model Suggestion

BTTS -3.4% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -3.4% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+9.7%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record

Based on 30 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%
O2.5/Under 70%
BTTS/No 63%
Score Hit 30%
ROI 1.4%
Bet Hit 60% (5 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: AVERAGE form (1.47) vs P(Home)=48.0%

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