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Scotland - Premiership logo Scotland flag Scotland - Premiership Relegation Group - 36 Pittodrie Stadium· Aberdeen Saturday, May 9, 2026 14:00
Aberdeen logo Aberdeen PPG 1.35
2-0 MISS
Dundee Utd logo Dundee Utd PPG 0.94
Home· -3.6% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 43.4%
Odds: 2.22 EV: -3.6%
Draw 26.3%
Odds: 3.45 EV: -5.6%
Away 30.3%
Odds: 3.05 EV: -7.6%
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 53.1% Odds: 1.80 -4.4%
Over 3.5 29.9% Odds: 3.00 -6.2%
BTTS 54.6% Odds: 1.62 -11.6%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-1
3rd 0-0
4th 1-0
5th 1-2

Expected Goals (xG)

Aberdeen
1.50
Dundee Utd
1.26

Model Suggestion

BTTS -11.6% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -11.6% at these odds — not a recommended bet.

League Track Record

Based on 30 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%
O2.5/Under 70%
BTTS/No 63%
Score Hit 30%
ROI 1.4%
Bet Hit 60% (5 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.35) > Away POOR (0.94)

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