Today / Germany - Frauen Bundesliga / Bayern Munich W vs E. Frankfurt W

Bayern Munich W vs E. Frankfurt W Prediction— Germany - Frauen Bundesliga

Regular Season - 25 ·Saturday, May 9, 2026, 13:45

Bayern Munich W

PPG 2.67 · HOME

2 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

E. Frankfurt W

PPG 1.42 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.7 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 73.3% vs bookmaker-implied 73.5%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.9%0-10.8%0-20.4%0-30.1%0-4+0.0%1 1-03.4%1-13.1%1-21.4%1-30.4%1-4+0.1%2 2-06.6%2-15.8%2-22.6%2-30.8%2-4+0.2%3 3-08.4%3-17.4%3-23.3%3-31.0%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-021.8%4+-119.4%4+-28.6%4+-32.6%4+-4+0.7%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 70.7% 69.4% 1.44 +1.8%

Draw 20.6% 22.2% 4.50 -4.4%

Away win 8.7% 18.5% 5.40 -31.8%

Over 2.5 73.3% 73.5% 1.36 -0.3%

Over 3.5 69.2% 51.8% 1.93 +33.6%

BTTS 55.0% 69.0% 1.45 -20.3%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 29 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 69%

O2.5 59%

BTTS 55%

Score Hit 28%

ROI -6.1%

Bet Hit 64%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 69%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-0

xG (home)3.8 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob55.0%

H 71% / xG 3.8-0.9 / O2.5 73% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–0 8.4%

#2 4–0 8.0%

#3 3–1 7.4%

#4 4–1 7.1%

#5 2–0✓ 6.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Bayern Munich W3.8

E. Frankfurt W0.9

COMBINED 4.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 73.3% · O3.5 PROB 69.2%

Form & verdict PPG

BAYERN MUNICH W · PPG 2.67

E. FRANKFURT W · PPG 1.42

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.67), Away AVERAGE (1.42) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Bayern Munich W (H) 70.7%

ODDS 1.44 · IMPLIED 69.4% EV +1.8%

Draw 20.6%

ODDS 4.50 · IMPLIED 22.2% EV -4.4%

E. Frankfurt W (A) 8.7%

ODDS 5.40 · IMPLIED 18.5% EV -31.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Bayern Munich W face E. Frankfurt W in Germany - Frauen Bundesliga on Saturday, May 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Bayern Munich W a 71% chance, the draw 21% and E. Frankfurt W 9%, so Bayern Munich W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.8 for Bayern Munich W and 0.9 for E. Frankfurt W (4.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-0. There is a 73% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Bayern Munich W are averaging 2.67 points per game versus 1.42 for E. Frankfurt W. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +33.6%. This match finished 2-0.

Bayern Munich W vs E. Frankfurt W Prediction— Germany - Frauen Bundesliga

Match Preview & Prediction

More Germany - Frauen Bundesliga Predictions