Halifax Town vs Southend Utd Prediction— England - National League

England - National League Regular Season - 45 The Shay· Halifax Saturday, April 18, 2026 11:30

Halifax Town PPG 1.68

2-6 MISS

Southend Utd PPG 1.52

Home· +7.3% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Halifax Town face Southend Utd in England - National League on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Halifax Town a 31% chance, the draw 26% and Southend Utd 43%, so Southend Utd are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Halifax Town and 1.5 for Southend Utd (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Halifax Town are averaging 1.68 points per game versus 1.52 for Southend Utd. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +7.3%. This match finished 2-6.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 31.1%

Odds: 3.45 EV: +7.3%

Draw 25.8%

Odds: 3.30 EV: -14.9%

Away 43.1%

Odds: 1.95 EV: -16.0%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 49.6% Odds: 1.83 -9.2%

Over 3.5 27.7% Odds: 3.10 -14.1%

BTTS 53.6% Odds: 1.67 -10.5%

O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 0-1 ✘

3rd 1-2 ✘

4th 1-0 ✘

5th 0-2 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Halifax Town

1.20

Southend Utd

1.46

Model SuggestionBTTS -10.5% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -10.5% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Home (+7.3%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 27 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 52%

O2.5/Under 37%

BTTS/No 44%

Score Hit 48%

ROI 14.3%

Bet Hit 67% (15 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.68), Away GOOD (1.52)