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Roma U20 vs Sassuolo U20 Prediction— Italy - Campionato Primavera - 1

Regular Season - 37 ·Saturday, May 9, 2026, 13:00

Roma U20

PPG 1.56 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Sassuolo U20

PPG 1.11 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.56) > Away AVERAGE (1.11)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.8%0-16.6%0-23.2%0-31.0%0-4+0.3%1 1-011.7%1-111.3%1-25.5%1-31.8%1-4+0.5%2 2-010.1%2-19.7%2-24.7%2-31.5%2-4+0.4%3 3-05.8%3-15.6%3-22.7%3-30.9%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-03.7%4+-13.6%4+-21.7%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 49.3% — — —

Draw 25.6% — — —

Away win 25.1% — — —

Over 2.5 52.9% — — —

Over 3.5 28.4% — — —

BTTS 53.6% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 39 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 54%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 49%

ROI -28.0%

Bet Hit 43%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 33%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob53.6%

H 49% / xG 1.7-1.0 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 54%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.3%

#2 2–0 10.1%

#3 1–0 11.7%

#4 2–1 9.7%

#5 0–0✓ 6.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Roma U201.7

Sassuolo U201.0

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 52.9% · O3.5 PROB 28.4%

Form & verdict PPG

ROMA U20 · PPG 1.56

SASSUOLO U20 · PPG 1.11

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.56) > Away AVERAGE (1.11)

Win probability 1X2

Roma U20 (H) 49.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 25.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Sassuolo U20 (A) 25.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Roma U20 face Sassuolo U20 in Italy - Campionato Primavera - 1 on Saturday, May 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Roma U20 a 49% chance, the draw 26% and Sassuolo U20 25%, so Roma U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Roma U20 and 1.0 for Sassuolo U20 (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Roma U20 are averaging 1.56 points per game versus 1.11 for Sassuolo U20. This match finished 0-0.

Roma U20 vs Sassuolo U20 Prediction— Italy - Campionato Primavera - 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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