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Azerbaijan - Premyer Liqa Saturday, May 9, 2026 13:00 
Qabala PPG 0.79 
Qarabag PPG 2.07
Azerbaijan - Premyer Liqa Saturday, May 9, 2026 13:00 Qabala PPG 0.791-1 HIT CS3
Qarabag PPG 2.07Draw· +4.9% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value
63% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Away Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Draw
✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 52.8% Odds: 1.73 -8.7%
Over 3.5 27.5% Odds: 2.75 -14.6%
BTTS 50.8% Odds: 1.85 -6.0%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st 0-2 ✘
2nd 0-1 ✘
3rd 1-1 ✔
4th 1-2 ✘
5th 0-3 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Qabala 0.69
Qarabag 1.96
Model Suggestion
Away -15.3% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Away, but EV is -15.3% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Draw (+4.9%) — probability too low to qualify.
Highest raw EV: Draw (+4.9%) — probability too low to qualify.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value
UPSET_VALUE 63%
Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.07) vs Home POOR (0.79)