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Italy - Serie A logo Italy flag Italy - Serie A Regular Season - 36 Unipol Domus· Cagliari Saturday, May 9, 2026 13:00
Cagliari logo Cagliari PPG 1.29
0-2 MISS
Udinese logo Udinese PPG 1.41
Over2.5· +2.3% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 36.3%
Odds: 2.58 EV: -6.3%
Draw 28.2%
Odds: 3.00 EV: -9.2%
Away 35.5%
Odds: 2.86 EV: +1.5%
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 46.5% Odds: 2.20 +2.3%
Over 3.5 20.9% Odds: 4.00 -9.8%
BTTS 52.3% Odds: 1.85 -3.2%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 0-0
3rd 0-1
4th 1-0
5th 1-2

Expected Goals (xG)

Cagliari
1.16
Udinese
1.18

Model Suggestion

BTTS -3.2% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -3.2% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Over2.5 (+2.3%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record

Based on 60 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 42%
O2.5/Under 55%
BTTS/No 47%
Score Hit 53%
ROI -26.7%
Bet Hit 40% (10 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.29), Away AVERAGE (1.41)

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