Today / Netherlands - Derde Divisie - Sunday / Rijnvogels vs UDI 19

Rijnvogels vs UDI 19 Prediction— Netherlands - Derde Divisie - Sunday

Group B - 32 ·Saturday, May 9, 2026, 12:30

Rijnvogels

PPG 2.00 · HOME

3 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

UDI 19

PPG 1.40 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.6 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.7%0-13.1%0-21.8%0-30.7%0-4+0.3%1 1-06.6%1-17.6%1-24.5%1-31.7%1-4+0.7%2 2-08.1%2-19.4%2-25.5%2-32.1%2-4+0.8%3 3-06.6%3-17.7%3-24.5%3-31.7%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-07.3%4+-18.5%4+-24.9%4+-31.9%4+-4+0.7%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 53.0% — — —

Draw 24.5% — — —

Away win 22.4% — — —

Over 2.5 61.7% — — —

Over 3.5 49.0% — — —

BTTS 58.8% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 36 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 33%

ROI -21.2%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 53%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-0

xG (home)2.5 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob58.8%

H 53% / xG 2.5-1.2 / O2.5 62% / BTTS 59%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 9.4%

#2 1–1 7.6%

#3 2–0 8.1%

#4 3–1 7.7%

#5 3–0✓ 6.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Rijnvogels2.5

UDI 191.2

COMBINED 3.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.7% · O3.5 PROB 49.0%

Form & verdict PPG

RIJNVOGELS · PPG 2.00

UDI 19 · PPG 1.40

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.00) > Away AVERAGE (1.40)

Win probability 1X2

Rijnvogels (H) 53.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

UDI 19 (A) 22.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Rijnvogels face UDI 19 in Netherlands - Derde Divisie - Sunday on Saturday, May 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Rijnvogels a 53% chance, the draw 25% and UDI 19 22%, so Rijnvogels are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.5 for Rijnvogels and 1.2 for UDI 19 (3.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Rijnvogels are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.40 for UDI 19. This match finished 3-0.

Rijnvogels vs UDI 19 Prediction— Netherlands - Derde Divisie - Sunday

Match Preview & Prediction

More Netherlands - Derde Divisie - Sunday Predictions