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Wurzburger K. vs Unterhaching Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - Bayern

Bayern - 33 ·Saturday, May 9, 2026, 12:00

Wurzburger K.

PPG 2.31 · HOME

4 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Unterhaching

PPG 2.06 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home EXCELLENT (2.31), Away EXCELLENT (2.06)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.2%0-18.7%0-25.2%0-32.1%0-4+0.8%1 1-010.3%1-112.4%1-27.4%1-33.0%1-4+1.2%2 2-07.4%2-18.8%2-25.3%2-32.1%2-4+0.8%3 3-03.5%3-14.2%3-22.5%3-31.0%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-01.7%4+-12.0%4+-21.2%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 43.3% — — —

Draw 27.1% — — —

Away win 29.6% — — —

Over 2.5 52.8% — — —

Over 3.5 26.9% — — —

BTTS 54.6% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 53 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 59%

BTTS 51%

Score Hit 28%

ROI -17.4%

Bet Hit 52%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 28%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 4-0

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob54.6%

H 43% / xG 1.4-1.2 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.4%

#2 0–0 7.2%

#3 2–1 8.8%

#4 1–0 10.3%

#5 1–2 7.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Wurzburger K.1.4

Unterhaching1.2

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 52.8% · O3.5 PROB 26.9%

Form & verdict PPG

WURZBURGER K. · PPG 2.31

UNTERHACHING · PPG 2.06

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home EXCELLENT (2.31), Away EXCELLENT (2.06)

Win probability 1X2

Wurzburger K. (H) 43.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 27.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Unterhaching (A) 29.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Wurzburger K. face Unterhaching in Germany - Regionalliga - Bayern on Saturday, May 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Wurzburger K. a 43% chance, the draw 27% and Unterhaching 30%, so Wurzburger K. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Wurzburger K. and 1.2 for Unterhaching (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Wurzburger K. are averaging 2.31 points per game versus 2.06 for Unterhaching. This match finished 4-0.

Wurzburger K. vs Unterhaching Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - Bayern

Match Preview & Prediction

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