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Bayreuth vs Nurnberg B Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - Bayern

Bayern - 33 ·Saturday, May 9, 2026, 12:00

Bayreuth

PPG 1.44 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Nurnberg B

PPG 2.25 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.25) vs Home AVERAGE (1.44)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.1%0-110.9%0-29.8%0-35.9%0-4+4.0%1 1-06.1%1-110.9%1-29.9%1-35.9%1-4+4.0%2 2-03.0%2-15.5%2-24.9%2-33.0%2-4+2.0%3 3-01.0%3-11.8%3-21.7%3-31.0%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.6%4+-20.5%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 22.8% — — —

Draw 25.2% — — —

Away win 52.0% — — —

Over 2.5 53.1% — — —

Over 3.5 30.9% — — —

BTTS 54.6% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 53 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 59%

BTTS 51%

Score Hit 28%

ROI -17.4%

Bet Hit 52%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 38%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)1.8 BTTS prob54.6%

A 52% / xG 1.0-1.8 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.9%

#2 1–2 9.9%

#3 0–2 9.8%

#4 0–1 10.9%

#5 0–0✓ 6.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Bayreuth1.0

Nurnberg B1.8

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.1% · O3.5 PROB 30.9%

Form & verdict PPG

BAYREUTH · PPG 1.44

NURNBERG B · PPG 2.25

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.25) vs Home AVERAGE (1.44)

Win probability 1X2

Bayreuth (H) 22.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 25.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Nurnberg B (A) 52.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Bayreuth face Nurnberg B in Germany - Regionalliga - Bayern on Saturday, May 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Bayreuth a 23% chance, the draw 25% and Nurnberg B 52%, so Nurnberg B are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Bayreuth and 1.8 for Nurnberg B (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Bayreuth are averaging 1.44 points per game versus 2.25 for Nurnberg B. This match finished 0-0.

Bayreuth vs Nurnberg B Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - Bayern

Match Preview & Prediction

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