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Greuther F. B vs Augsburg B Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - Bayern

Bayern - 33 ·Saturday, May 9, 2026, 12:00

Greuther F. B

PPG 0.94 · HOME

0 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Augsburg B

PPG 1.06 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.94), Away AVERAGE (1.06)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.7%0-17.6%0-25.0%0-32.2%0-4+1.0%1 1-08.8%1-111.6%1-27.7%1-33.4%1-4+1.5%2 2-06.8%2-19.0%2-25.9%2-32.6%2-4+1.1%3 3-03.5%3-14.6%3-23.0%3-31.3%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-01.9%4+-12.5%4+-21.6%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 43.4% — — —

Draw 26.3% — — —

Away win 30.3% — — —

Over 2.5 55.9% — — —

Over 3.5 32.1% — — —

BTTS 58.8% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 53 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 59%

BTTS 51%

Score Hit 28%

ROI -17.4%

Bet Hit 52%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 40%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob58.8%

H 43% / xG 1.5-1.3 / O2.5 56% / BTTS 59%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.6%

#2 2–1 9.0%

#3 1–2 7.7%

#4 0–0 5.7%

#5 1–0 8.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Greuther F. B1.5

Augsburg B1.3

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 55.9% · O3.5 PROB 32.1%

Form & verdict PPG

GREUTHER F. B · PPG 0.94

AUGSBURG B · PPG 1.06

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.94), Away AVERAGE (1.06)

Win probability 1X2

Greuther F. B (H) 43.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 26.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Augsburg B (A) 30.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Greuther F. B face Augsburg B in Germany - Regionalliga - Bayern on Saturday, May 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Greuther F. B a 43% chance, the draw 26% and Augsburg B 30%, so Greuther F. B are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Greuther F. B and 1.3 for Augsburg B (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Greuther F. B are averaging 0.94 points per game versus 1.06 for Augsburg B. This match finished 0-1.

Greuther F. B vs Augsburg B Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - Bayern

Match Preview & Prediction

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