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Schott Mainz vs Balingen Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - SudWest

Südwest - 33 ·Saturday, May 9, 2026, 12:00

Schott Mainz

PPG 0.63 · HOME

2 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Balingen

PPG 0.81 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.63), Away POOR (0.81)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.3%0-13.9%0-23.4%0-31.9%0-4+1.2%1 1-04.7%1-18.1%1-27.0%1-34.0%1-4+2.5%2 2-04.8%2-18.3%2-27.2%2-34.1%2-4+2.6%3 3-03.3%3-15.7%3-24.9%3-32.8%3-4+1.8%4+ 4+-02.7%4+-14.7%4+-24.1%4+-32.4%4+-4+1.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 44.0% — — —

Draw 24.4% — — —

Away win 31.6% — — —

Over 2.5 61.7% — — —

Over 3.5 52.4% — — —

BTTS 63.0% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 44 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 32%

O2.5 68%

BTTS 68%

Score Hit 23%

ROI -13.7%

Bet Hit 61%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 54%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-3

xG (home)2.1 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob63.0%

H 44% / xG 2.1-1.7 / O2.5 62% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.1%

#2 2–1 8.3%

#3 2–2 7.2%

#4 1–2 7.0%

#5 3–1 5.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Schott Mainz2.1

Balingen1.7

COMBINED 3.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.7% · O3.5 PROB 52.4%

Form & verdict PPG

SCHOTT MAINZ · PPG 0.63

BALINGEN · PPG 0.81

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.63), Away POOR (0.81)

Win probability 1X2

Schott Mainz (H) 44.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Balingen (A) 31.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Schott Mainz face Balingen in Germany - Regionalliga - SudWest on Saturday, May 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Schott Mainz a 44% chance, the draw 24% and Balingen 32%, so Schott Mainz are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Schott Mainz and 1.7 for Balingen (3.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Schott Mainz are averaging 0.63 points per game versus 0.81 for Balingen. This match finished 2-3.

Schott Mainz vs Balingen Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - SudWest

Match Preview & Prediction

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