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Bahlinger vs Eintracht Trier Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - SudWest

Südwest - 33 ·Saturday, May 9, 2026, 12:00

Bahlinger

PPG 0.69 · HOME

2 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Eintracht Trier

PPG 0.81 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 2.9 puts the goal expectation above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.6%0-19.2%0-27.6%0-34.2%0-4+2.5%1 1-06.9%1-111.4%1-29.4%1-35.2%1-4+3.1%2 2-04.3%2-17.0%2-25.8%2-33.2%2-4+1.9%3 3-01.8%3-12.9%3-22.4%3-31.3%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-00.7%4+-11.2%4+-21.0%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 31.6% — — —

Draw 26.2% — — —

Away win 42.2% — — —

Over 2.5 59.3% — — —

Over 3.5 32.8% — — —

BTTS 58.8% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 44 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 32%

O2.5 68%

BTTS 68%

Score Hit 23%

ROI -13.7%

Bet Hit 61%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 43%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-2

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob58.8%

A 42% / xG 1.2-1.7 / O2.5 59% / BTTS 59%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.4%

#2 1–2 9.4%

#3 0–2 7.6%

#4 0–1 9.2%

#5 0–0 5.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Bahlinger1.2

Eintracht Trier1.7

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.3% · O3.5 PROB 32.8%

Form & verdict PPG

BAHLINGER · PPG 0.69

EINTRACHT TRIER · PPG 0.81

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.69), Away POOR (0.81)

Win probability 1X2

Bahlinger (H) 31.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 26.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Eintracht Trier (A) 42.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Bahlinger face Eintracht Trier in Germany - Regionalliga - SudWest on Saturday, May 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Bahlinger a 32% chance, the draw 26% and Eintracht Trier 42%, so Eintracht Trier are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Bahlinger and 1.7 for Eintracht Trier (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Bahlinger are averaging 0.69 points per game versus 0.81 for Eintracht Trier. This match finished 2-2.

Bahlinger vs Eintracht Trier Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - SudWest

Match Preview & Prediction

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