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Hessen Kassel vs Steinbach Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - SudWest

Südwest - 33 ·Saturday, May 9, 2026, 12:00

Hessen Kassel

PPG 1.50 · HOME

2 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Steinbach

PPG 1.75 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.50), Away GOOD (1.75)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.6%0-13.4%0-23.6%0-32.6%0-4+2.3%1 1-03.2%1-16.8%1-27.3%1-35.2%1-4+4.5%2 2-03.2%2-16.8%2-27.3%2-35.2%2-4+4.6%3 3-02.1%3-14.6%3-24.9%3-33.5%3-4+3.1%4+ 4+-01.7%4+-13.7%4+-23.9%4+-32.8%4+-4+2.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 35.6% — — —

Draw 24.0% — — —

Away win 40.4% — — —

Over 2.5 61.7% — — —

Over 3.5 59.5% — — —

BTTS 64.5% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 44 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 32%

O2.5 68%

BTTS 68%

Score Hit 23%

ROI -13.7%

Bet Hit 61%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 3 45%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-0

xG (home)2.0 xG (away)2.1 BTTS prob64.5%

A 40% / xG 2.0-2.1 / O2.5 62% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 6.8%

#2 2–2 7.3%

#3 1–2 7.3%

#4 2–1 6.8%

#5 2–3 5.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Hessen Kassel2.0

Steinbach2.1

COMBINED 4.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.7% · O3.5 PROB 59.5%

Form & verdict PPG

HESSEN KASSEL · PPG 1.50

STEINBACH · PPG 1.75

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.50), Away GOOD (1.75)

Win probability 1X2

Hessen Kassel (H) 35.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Steinbach (A) 40.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Hessen Kassel face Steinbach in Germany - Regionalliga - SudWest on Saturday, May 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Hessen Kassel a 36% chance, the draw 24% and Steinbach 40%, so Steinbach are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Hessen Kassel and 2.1 for Steinbach (4.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 65% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Hessen Kassel are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 1.75 for Steinbach. This match finished 2-0.

Hessen Kassel vs Steinbach Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - SudWest

Match Preview & Prediction

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