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Freiburg B vs Kickers Offenb. Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - SudWest

Südwest - 33 ·Saturday, May 9, 2026, 12:00

Freiburg B

PPG 1.50 · HOME

1 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Kickers Offenb.

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.7 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.9%0-12.0%0-22.0%0-31.4%0-4+1.2%1 1-02.4%1-15.1%1-25.3%1-33.6%1-4+3.1%2 2-03.1%2-16.5%2-26.8%2-34.7%2-4+4.0%3 3-02.7%3-15.6%3-25.9%3-34.1%3-4+3.4%4+ 4+-03.3%4+-16.8%4+-27.1%4+-34.9%4+-4+4.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 48.0% — — —

Draw 23.2% — — —

Away win 28.7% — — —

Over 2.5 73.3% — — —

Over 3.5 68.5% — — —

BTTS 66.7% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 44 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 32%

O2.5 68%

BTTS 68%

Score Hit 23%

ROI -13.7%

Bet Hit 61%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 2 62%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-3

xG (home)2.6 xG (away)2.1 BTTS prob66.7%

H 48% / xG 2.6-2.1 / O2.5 73% / BTTS 67%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–2 6.8%

#2 2–1 6.5%

#3 3–2 5.9%

#4 1–1 5.1%

#5 3–1 5.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Freiburg B2.6

Kickers Offenb.2.1

COMBINED 4.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 73.3% · O3.5 PROB 68.5%

Form & verdict PPG

FREIBURG B · PPG 1.50

KICKERS OFFENB. · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.50) > Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

Freiburg B (H) 48.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 23.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Kickers Offenb. (A) 28.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Freiburg B face Kickers Offenb. in Germany - Regionalliga - SudWest on Saturday, May 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Freiburg B a 48% chance, the draw 23% and Kickers Offenb. 29%, so Freiburg B are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.6 for Freiburg B and 2.1 for Kickers Offenb. (4.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-2. There is a 73% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 67% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Freiburg B are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 1.00 for Kickers Offenb.. This match finished 1-3.

Freiburg B vs Kickers Offenb. Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - SudWest

Match Preview & Prediction

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