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China - Super League logo China flag China - Super League Regular Season - 11 Chengdu Phoenix Hill Football Stadium· Sichuan Saturday, May 9, 2026 12:00
Chengdu logo Chengdu PPG 3.00
3-0 HIT CS3
Henan SL logo Henan SL PPG 1.00
Draw· +0.0% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 60.8%
Odds: 1.51 EV: -8.2%
Draw 24.4%
Odds: 4.10 EV: +0.0%
Away 14.9%
Odds: 5.40 EV: -11.7%
Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 59.3% Odds: 1.62 -3.9%
Over 3.5 32.8% Odds: 2.55 -16.4%
BTTS 51.0% Odds: 1.67 -14.8%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-0
2nd 1-0
3rd 3-0
4th 1-1
5th 2-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Chengdu
2.21
Henan SL
0.68

Model Suggestion

Home -8.2% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -8.2% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Draw (+0.0%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (3.00) vs P(Home)=60.8%

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