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China - Super League
Regular Season - 11
Chengdu Phoenix Hill Football Stadium· Sichuan
Saturday, May 9, 2026
12:00
Chengdu
PPG 3.00
3-0
HIT CS3
Henan SL
PPG 1.00
Draw· +0.0%
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
60.8%
Odds: 1.51
EV: -8.2%
Draw
24.4%
Odds: 4.10
EV: +0.0%
Away
14.9%
Odds: 5.40
EV: -11.7%
Model lean:
Home
Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
59.3%
Odds: 1.62
-3.9%
Over 3.5
32.8%
Odds: 2.55
-16.4%
BTTS
51.0%
Odds: 1.67
-14.8%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔
BTTS YES → NO ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st
2-0
✘
2nd
1-0
✘
3rd
3-0
✔
4th
1-1
✘
5th
2-1
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Chengdu
2.21
Henan SL
0.68
Model Suggestion
Home
-8.2%
NO VALUE BET
No value bet:
model leans Home, but EV is -8.2% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV:
Draw (+0.0%) — probability too low to qualify.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME
Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (3.00) vs P(Home)=60.8%