S. Shenhua vs Chongqing T. Prediction & Tips

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China - Super League Regular Season - 11 Shanghai Stadium· Shanghai Saturday, May 9, 2026 11:35

S. Shenhua PPG 2.40

2-2 MISS

Chongqing T. PPG 1.75

Away· +37.4% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 43.4%

Odds: 1.50 EV: -34.9%

Draw 27.6%

Odds: 4.10 EV: +7.9%

Away 29.0%

Odds: 5.60 EV: +37.4%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 46.5% Odds: 1.67 -22.4%

Over 3.5 24.8% Odds: 2.70 -19.8%

BTTS 54.6% Odds: 1.73 -5.5%

O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 0-0 ✘

3rd 1-0 ✘

4th 2-1 ✘

5th 2-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

S. Shenhua

1.37

Chongqing T.

1.15

Model SuggestionBTTS -5.5% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -5.5% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Away (+37.4%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.40) > Away GOOD (1.75)