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Croatia - First NL logo Croatia flag Croatia - First NL Regular Season - 30 Stadion HNK Cibalia· Vinkovci Saturday, May 9, 2026 11:15
Cibalia logo Cibalia PPG 2.14
2-0 HIT CS5
Sesvete logo Sesvete PPG 1.85
Draw· -3.1% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 37.4%
Odds: 2.15 EV: -19.6%
Draw 32.3%
Odds: 3.00 EV: -3.1%
Away 30.3%
Odds: 3.10 EV: -6.1%
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 35.1% Odds: 2.10 -26.3%
Over 3.5 13.2% Odds: 3.84 -29.6%
BTTS 48.2% Odds: 1.75 -15.7%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-0
2nd 1-1
3rd 1-0
4th 0-1
5th 2-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Cibalia
1.01
Sesvete
0.93

Model Suggestion

No Bet NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home EXCELLENT (2.14), Away GOOD (1.85)

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