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Hvidovre vs Lyngby Prediction— Denmark - 1. Division

Promotion Group - 29 ·Saturday, May 9, 2026, 11:00

Hvidovre

PPG 1.50 · HOME

0 – 2

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Lyngby

PPG 1.85 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 58.8% vs bookmaker-implied 62.5%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.7%0-19.0%0-27.1%0-33.8%0-4+2.1%1 1-07.3%1-111.6%1-29.1%1-34.8%1-4+2.7%2 2-04.7%2-17.4%2-25.9%2-33.1%2-4+1.7%3 3-02.0%3-13.2%3-22.5%3-31.3%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-00.8%4+-11.3%4+-21.1%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 33.8% 37.3% 2.68 -9.4%

Draw 25.4% 30.3% 3.30 -9.7%

Away win 40.8% 41.0% 2.44 -0.4%

Over 2.5 56.0% 55.6% 1.80 +0.8%

Over 3.5 32.1% 33.3% 3.00 -3.7%

BTTS 58.8% 62.5% 1.60 -5.9%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 42 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 62%

Score Hit 33%

ROI -5.4%

Bet Hit 60%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 38%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-2

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob58.8%

A 41% / xG 1.3-1.6 / O2.5 56% / BTTS 59%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.6%

#2 1–2 9.1%

#3 0–0 5.7%

#4 2–1 7.4%

#5 0–1 9.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Hvidovre1.3

Lyngby1.6

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 56.0% · O3.5 PROB 32.1%

Form & verdict PPG

HVIDOVRE · PPG 1.50

LYNGBY · PPG 1.85

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: GOOD (1.50) vs Away GOOD (1.85)

Win probability 1X2

Hvidovre (H) 33.8%

ODDS 2.68 · IMPLIED 37.3% EV -9.4%

Draw 25.4%

ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV -9.7%

Lyngby (A) 40.8%

ODDS 2.44 · IMPLIED 41.0% EV -0.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Hvidovre face Lyngby in Denmark - 1. Division on Saturday, May 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Hvidovre a 34% chance, the draw 25% and Lyngby 41%, so Lyngby are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Hvidovre and 1.6 for Lyngby (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Hvidovre are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 1.85 for Lyngby. The best value bet our model finds is over 2.5 goals, with an expected value of +0.8%. This match finished 0-2.

Hvidovre vs Lyngby Prediction— Denmark - 1. Division

Match Preview & Prediction

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