Ukraine - Persha LigaRegular Season - 27Bukovyna Stadium· ChernivtsiSaturday, May 9, 202610:00
BukovynaPPG 2.69
6-0MISS
Vorskla PoltavaPPG 0.77
Away· +31.3%⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home61.7%
Odds: 1.18EV: -27.2%
Draw26.5%
Odds: 5.50EV: +27.5%
Away11.7%
Odds: 13.00EV: +31.3%
Model lean: HomeNot tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.546.0%Odds: 1.61-25.9%
Over 3.519.6%Odds: 2.46-31.1%
BTTS45.9%Odds: 2.30+5.6%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘BTTS NO → NO ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st1-0✘
2nd2-0✘
3rd0-0✘
4th3-0✘
5th1-1✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Bukovyna
1.81
Vorskla Poltava
0.46
Model Suggestion
Home-27.2%NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -27.2% at these odds — not a recommended bet. Highest raw EV: Away (+31.3%) — probability too low to qualify.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME
Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.69) vs P(Home)=61.7%