Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 59.3% Odds: 1.50 -11.1%
Over 3.5 34.4% Odds: 2.20 -24.3%
BTTS 54.6% Odds: 1.50 -18.1%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-1 ✘
2nd 2-1 ✔
3rd 2-0 ✘
4th 1-0 ✘
5th 0-0 ✘
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5 -11.1% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -11.1% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+2.0%) — probability too low to qualify.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value MODERATE_HOME Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.42) > Away AVERAGE (1.00)