South-Korea - K League 1Regular Season - 13Gwangju Football Stadium· GwangjuSaturday, May 9, 202607:30
GwangjuPPG 0.80
0-0HIT CS5
GangwonPPG 1.67
Home· +15.0%✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum
90% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home12.5%
Odds: 10.00EV: +15.0%
Draw23.6%
Odds: 4.20EV: -0.5%
Away63.9%
Odds: 1.36EV: -13.1%
Model lean: AwayNot tracked as an official bet.
Result: Draw
✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.551.4%Odds: 2.10+7.9%
Over 3.526.1%Odds: 3.75-1.3%
BTTS48.2%Odds: 2.38+14.7%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘BTTS NO → NO ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st0-2✘
2nd0-1✘
3rd0-3✘
4th1-1✘
5th0-0✔
Expected Goals (xG)
Gwangju
0.58
Gangwon
2.00
Model Suggestion
Away-13.1%NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Away, but EV is -13.1% at these odds — not a recommended bet. Highest raw EV: Home (+15.0%) — probability too low to qualify.
Verdict & Form
✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum
90%
UPSET_VALUE
Away momentum: GOOD form (1.67) vs Home POOR (0.80)