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South-Korea - K League 1 logo South-Korea flag South-Korea - K League 1 Regular Season - 13 Gwangju Football Stadium· Gwangju Saturday, May 9, 2026 07:30
Gwangju logo Gwangju PPG 0.80
0-0 HIT CS5
Gangwon logo Gangwon PPG 1.67
Home· +15.0% ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum
90% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 12.5%
Odds: 10.00 EV: +15.0%
Draw 23.6%
Odds: 4.20 EV: -0.5%
Away 63.9%
Odds: 1.36 EV: -13.1%
Model lean: Away Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 51.4% Odds: 2.10 +7.9%
Over 3.5 26.1% Odds: 3.75 -1.3%
BTTS 48.2% Odds: 2.38 +14.7%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-2
2nd 0-1
3rd 0-3
4th 1-1
5th 0-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Gwangju
0.58
Gangwon
2.00

Model Suggestion

Away -13.1% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Away, but EV is -13.1% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Home (+15.0%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum
90%
UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.67) vs Home POOR (0.80)

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