Today / Australia - Western Australia NPL / Stirling vs Dianella WE

Stirling vs Dianella WE Prediction— Australia - Western Australia NPL

Regular Season - 9 ·Saturday, May 9, 2026, 07:00

Stirling

PPG 1.50 · HOME

3 – 4

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Dianella WE

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 62.5% vs bookmaker-implied 73.5%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.4%0-13.6%0-22.6%0-31.3%0-4+0.6%1 1-05.5%1-18.0%1-25.8%1-32.8%1-4+1.4%2 2-06.2%2-19.1%2-26.6%2-33.2%2-4+1.6%3 3-04.7%3-16.8%3-25.0%3-32.4%3-4+1.2%4+ 4+-04.5%4+-16.5%4+-24.7%4+-32.3%4+-4+1.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 49.8% 51.3% 1.95 -2.9%

Draw 24.8% 28.6% 3.50 -7.9%

Away win 25.3% 31.3% 3.20 -11.4%

Over 2.5 61.7% 69.4% 1.44 -11.2%

Over 3.5 50.9% 50.0% 2.00 +1.8%

BTTS 62.5% 73.5% 1.36 -15.0%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 58 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 74%

BTTS 72%

Score Hit 38%

ROI 6.4%

Bet Hit 75%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 56%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-4

xG (home)2.3 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob62.5%

H 50% / xG 2.3-1.5 / O2.5 62% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.0%

#2 2–1 9.1%

#3 3–1 6.8%

#4 2–2 6.6%

#5 2–0 6.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Stirling2.3

Dianella WE1.5

COMBINED 3.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.7% · O3.5 PROB 50.9%

Form & verdict PPG

STIRLING · PPG 1.50

DIANELLA WE · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.50) > Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

Stirling (H) 49.8%

ODDS 1.95 · IMPLIED 51.3% EV -2.9%

Draw 24.8%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV -7.9%

Dianella WE (A) 25.3%

ODDS 3.20 · IMPLIED 31.3% EV -11.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Stirling face Dianella WE in Australia - Western Australia NPL on Saturday, May 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Stirling a 50% chance, the draw 25% and Dianella WE 25%, so Stirling are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.3 for Stirling and 1.5 for Dianella WE (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Stirling are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 1.00 for Dianella WE. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +1.8%. This match finished 3-4.

Stirling vs Dianella WE Prediction— Australia - Western Australia NPL

Match Preview & Prediction

More Australia - Western Australia NPL Predictions