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Australia - Northern NSW NPL logo Australia flag Australia - Northern NSW NPL Regular Season - 11 Saturday, May 9, 2026 06:30
Edgeworth E. logo Edgeworth E. PPG 3.00
3-1 HIT CS5
Maitland logo Maitland PPG 2.00
Over3.5· +37.1% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 47.5%
Odds: 1.95 EV: -7.4%
Draw 23.0%
Odds: 3.60 EV: -10.3%
Away 29.5%
Odds: 3.00 EV: -6.9%
Model lean: Over 2.5
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 69.8% Odds: 1.50 +4.7%
Over 3.5 65.9% Odds: 2.08 +37.1%
BTTS 66.7% Odds: 1.40 -6.6%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-2
2nd 2-1
3rd 1-1
4th 3-2
5th 3-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Edgeworth E.
2.49
Maitland
2.02

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 +4.7% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5.
Raw EV leader: Over3.5(+37.1%)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (3.00) vs P(Home)=47.5%

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