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Australia - Tasmania NPL logo Australia flag Australia - Tasmania NPL Regular Season - 8 Windsor Park· Launceston Saturday, May 9, 2026 04:30
Riverside logo Riverside PPG 2.00
5-0 MISS
South East Utd logo South East Utd PPG 0.75
Over3.5· +33.9% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 63.5%
Odds: 1.53 EV: -2.8%
Draw 20.7%
Odds: 4.20 EV: -7.8%
Away 15.8%
Odds: 4.60 EV: -16.4%
Model lean: Over 2.5
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 78.8% Odds: 1.33 +4.8%
Over 3.5 76.5% Odds: 1.75 +33.9%
BTTS 63.0% Odds: 1.40 -11.8%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 3-1
2nd 4-1
3rd 2-1
4th 5-1
5th 3-2

Expected Goals (xG)

Riverside
3.79
South East Utd
1.43

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 +4.8% ROI TRACKS: Over 3.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 3.5.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs P(Home)=63.5%

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