Launceston vs South Hobart Prediction & Tips

← Back to picks

Australia - Tasmania NPL Regular Season - 8 Prospect Park Saturday, May 9, 2026 04:30

Launceston PPG 2.25

1-8 MISS

South Hobart PPG 3.00

Over3.5· +15.3% ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

90% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 25.0%

Odds: 3.75 EV: -3.8%

Draw 20.4%

Odds: 3.80 EV: -13.5%

Away 54.5%

Odds: 1.73 EV: -5.7%

Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 69.8% Odds: 1.30 -9.3%

Over 3.5 65.9% Odds: 1.75 +15.3%

BTTS 66.6% Odds: 1.30 -13.4%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-2 ✘

2nd 1-3 ✘

3rd 2-2 ✘

4th 1-1 ✘

5th 2-3 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Launceston

1.73

South Hobart

2.78

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 -9.3% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-9.3%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 15 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 87%

O2.5/Under 80%

BTTS/No 53%

Score Hit 27%

ROI 20.6%

Bet Hit 80% (5 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

90%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (3.00) vs Home EXCELLENT (2.25)