St. Patricks vs Waterford Prediction & Tips

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Ireland - Premier Division Regular Season - 16 Richmond Park· Dublin Friday, May 8, 2026 19:00

St. Patricks PPG 2.29

4-1 MISS

Waterford PPG 0.14

Away· +21.8% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...

66% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 67.8%

Odds: 1.22 EV: -17.3%

Draw 22.8%

Odds: 5.60 EV: +16.6%

Away 9.4%

Odds: 14.50 EV: +21.8%

Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 60.2% Odds: 1.50 -9.7%

Over 3.5 42.7% Odds: 2.25 -3.9%

BTTS 50.8% Odds: 2.00 +1.6%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-0 ✘

2nd 3-0 ✘

3rd 1-0 ✘

4th 2-1 ✘

5th 4-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

St. Patricks

2.71

Waterford

0.62

Model SuggestionHome -17.3% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -17.3% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Away (+21.8%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.29), Away POOR (0.14) - Strong consensus