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Ireland - Premier Division logo Ireland flag Ireland - Premier Division Regular Season - 16 Eamonn Deacy Park· Galway Friday, May 8, 2026 18:45
Galway Utd logo Galway Utd PPG 1.83
1-3 MISS
Shamrock Rovers logo Shamrock Rovers PPG 1.29
Home· +0.9% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 27.8%
Odds: 3.65 EV: +0.9%
Draw 28.4%
Odds: 3.50 EV: -0.4%
Away 43.8%
Odds: 1.97 EV: -13.7%
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 46.5% Odds: 2.00 -7.0%
Over 3.5 22.6% Odds: 3.55 -11.9%
BTTS 52.3% Odds: 1.80 -5.9%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 0-0
3rd 0-1
4th 1-2
5th 0-2

Expected Goals (xG)

Galway Utd
1.03
Shamrock Rovers
1.39

Model Suggestion

BTTS -5.9% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -5.9% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Home (+0.9%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record

Based on 43 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 37%
O2.5/Under 56%
BTTS/No 54%
Score Hit 51%
ROI 46.6%
Bet Hit 79% (14 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.83) > Away AVERAGE (1.29)

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