Dundalk vs Bohemians Prediction & Tips

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Ireland - Premier Division Regular Season - 16 Oriel Park· Dundalk Friday, May 8, 2026 18:45

Dundalk PPG 2.00

1-3 MISS

Bohemians PPG 1.57

Draw· +1.1% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 38.9%

Odds: 2.58 EV: +0.4%

Draw 29.5%

Odds: 3.45 EV: +1.1%

Away 31.6%

Odds: 2.55 EV: -19.4%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 46.5% Odds: 1.85 -14.0%

Over 3.5 21.5% Odds: 3.25 -18.1%

BTTS 52.3% Odds: 1.67 -12.7%

O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 0-0 ✘

3rd 1-0 ✘

4th 0-1 ✘

5th 2-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Dundalk

1.25

Bohemians

1.12

Model SuggestionBTTS -12.7% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -12.7% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Draw (+1.1%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.00) > Away GOOD (1.57)