Torino vs Sassuolo Prediction & Tips

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Italy - Serie A Regular Season - 36 Stadio Olimpico di Torino· Turin Friday, May 8, 2026 18:45

Torino PPG 1.41

2-1 MISS

Sassuolo PPG 1.18

Away· +3.4% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 36.1%

Odds: 2.46 EV: -11.2%

Draw 27.5%

Odds: 3.20 EV: -7.2%

Away 36.4%

Odds: 2.84 EV: +3.4%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 46.5% Odds: 1.83 -14.9%

Over 3.5 23.8% Odds: 3.00 -17.2%

BTTS 52.8% Odds: 1.62 -14.5%

O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 0-0 ✘

3rd 0-1 ✘

4th 1-2 ✘

5th 1-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Torino

1.16

Sassuolo

1.32

Model SuggestionBTTS -14.5% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -14.5% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Away (+3.4%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 60 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 42%

O2.5/Under 55%

BTTS/No 47%

Score Hit 53%

ROI -26.7%

Bet Hit 40% (10 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.41), Away AVERAGE (1.18)