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Croatia - HNL Friday, May 8, 2026 18:00 
Rijeka PPG 1.63 
Vukovar PPG 0.44
Croatia - HNL Friday, May 8, 2026 18:00 Rijeka PPG 1.633-0 MISS
Vukovar PPG 0.44Away· +62.0% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 52.8% Odds: 1.65 -12.9%
Over 3.5 27.3% Odds: 2.60 -17.4%
BTTS 52.3% Odds: 1.85 -3.2%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st 2-0 ✘
2nd 1-1 ✘
3rd 1-0 ✘
4th 2-1 ✘
5th 0-0 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Rijeka 1.85
Vukovar 0.79
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5 -12.9% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -12.9% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+62.0%) — probability too low to qualify.
Highest raw EV: Away (+62.0%) — probability too low to qualify.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME 55%
Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.63) vs P(Home)=51.0%