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Bulle vs Breitenrain Prediction— Switzerland - 1. Liga Promotion

Regular Season - 31 ·Friday, May 8, 2026, 17:30

Bulle

PPG 1.60 · HOME

1 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Breitenrain

PPG 0.80 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 63.0% vs bookmaker-implied 69.0%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.1%0-13.4%0-22.8%0-31.6%0-4+0.9%1 1-04.6%1-17.6%1-26.3%1-33.5%1-4+2.1%2 2-05.1%2-18.5%2-27.0%2-33.9%2-4+2.3%3 3-03.8%3-16.3%3-25.2%3-32.9%3-4+1.7%4+ 4+-03.5%4+-15.9%4+-24.8%4+-32.7%4+-4+1.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 49.3% 48.8% 2.05 +1.1%

Draw 24.9% 27.4% 3.65 -5.5%

Away win 25.8% 33.9% 2.95 -14.3%

Over 2.5 61.7% 65.4% 1.53 -5.6%

Over 3.5 54.2% 42.6% 2.35 +27.4%

BTTS 63.0% 69.0% 1.45 -8.6%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 67 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5 70%

BTTS 60%

Score Hit 33%

ROI -3.6%

Bet Hit 69%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 59%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)2.2 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob63.0%

H 49% / xG 2.2-1.7 / O2.5 62% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 7.6%

#2 2–1 8.5%

#3 2–2 7.0%

#4 1–2 6.3%

#5 3–1 6.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Bulle2.2

Breitenrain1.7

COMBINED 3.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.7% · O3.5 PROB 54.2%

Form & verdict PPG

BULLE · PPG 1.60

BREITENRAIN · PPG 0.80

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

75%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.60) > Away POOR (0.80)

Win probability 1X2

Bulle (H) 49.3%

ODDS 2.05 · IMPLIED 48.8% EV +1.1%

Draw 24.9%

ODDS 3.65 · IMPLIED 27.4% EV -5.5%

Breitenrain (A) 25.8%

ODDS 2.95 · IMPLIED 33.9% EV -14.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Bulle face Breitenrain in Switzerland - 1. Liga Promotion on Friday, May 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Bulle a 49% chance, the draw 25% and Breitenrain 26%, so Bulle are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for Bulle and 1.7 for Breitenrain (3.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Bulle are averaging 1.60 points per game versus 0.80 for Breitenrain. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +27.4%. This match finished 1-0.

Bulle vs Breitenrain Prediction— Switzerland - 1. Liga Promotion

Match Preview & Prediction

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