Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 61.7% Odds: 1.53 -5.6%
Over 3.5 50.2% Odds: 2.25 +13.0%
BTTS 58.8% Odds: 1.52 -10.6%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st 2-1 ✘
2nd 2-0 ✘
3rd 3-1 ✘
4th 1-1 ✘
5th 3-0 ✘
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5 -5.6% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-5.6%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.
Verdict & Form
✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs P(Home)=59.5%