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Spain - Primera División RFEF - Group 2 logo Spain flag Spain - Primera División RFEF - Group 2 Group 2 - 36 Estadio Municipal Cartagonova· Cartagena Friday, May 8, 2026 17:00
Cartagena logo Cartagena PPG 2.00
2-1 MISS
Alcorcon logo Alcorcon PPG 1.24
Draw· +2.8% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 38.0%
Odds: 2.30 EV: -12.6%
Draw 35.7%
Odds: 2.88 EV: +2.8%
Away 26.3%
Odds: 3.20 EV: -9.5%
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 35.1% Odds: 2.38 -16.5%
Over 3.5 8.0% Odds: 4.33 -39.2%
BTTS 45.9% Odds: 1.93 -11.4%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-0
2nd 1-0
3rd 1-1
4th 0-1
5th 2-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Cartagena
0.88
Alcorcon
0.73

Model Suggestion

No Bet NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.00) > Away AVERAGE (1.24)

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