HamKam vs Valerenga Prediction & Tips

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Norway - Eliteserien Regular Season - 8 Briskeby Arena· Hamar Friday, May 8, 2026 17:00

HamKam PPG 2.25

1-0 MISS

Valerenga PPG 1.33

Home· +30.6% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned

66% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 49.3%

Odds: 2.65 EV: +30.6%

Draw 25.6%

Odds: 3.60 EV: -4.7%

Away 25.1%

Odds: 2.40 EV: -23.9%

Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 61.7% Odds: 1.62 -0.1%

Over 3.5 47.5% Odds: 2.55 +21.1%

BTTS 59.2% Odds: 1.50 -11.2%

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 2-1 ✘

3rd 3-1 ✘

4th 2-0 ✘

5th 2-2 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

HamKam

2.17

Valerenga

1.38

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 -0.1% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-0.1%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 35 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5/Under 51%

BTTS/No 51%

Score Hit 51%

ROI 5.7%

Bet Hit 60% (10 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned

66%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.25) vs P(Home)=49.3%