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Memmingen vs Vilzing Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - Bayern

Bayern - 33 ·Friday, May 8, 2026, 17:00

Memmingen

PPG 1.00 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Vilzing

PPG 1.31 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.00) vs Away AVERAGE (1.31)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.4%0-19.9%0-26.7%0-33.0%0-4+1.4%1 1-09.3%1-112.5%1-28.4%1-33.8%1-4+1.7%2 2-05.9%2-17.9%2-25.3%2-32.4%2-4+1.1%3 3-02.5%3-13.3%3-22.2%3-31.0%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-01.0%4+-11.4%4+-20.9%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 36.8% — — —

Draw 27.2% — — —

Away win 36.0% — — —

Over 2.5 52.8% — — —

Over 3.5 26.6% — — —

BTTS 54.6% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 53 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 59%

BTTS 51%

Score Hit 28%

ROI -17.4%

Bet Hit 52%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 25%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob54.6%

A 36% / xG 1.3-1.3 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1✓ 12.5%

#2 0–0 7.4%

#3 1–2 8.4%

#4 0–1 9.9%

#5 2–1 7.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Memmingen1.3

Vilzing1.3

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 52.8% · O3.5 PROB 26.6%

Form & verdict PPG

MEMMINGEN · PPG 1.00

VILZING · PPG 1.31

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.00) vs Away AVERAGE (1.31)

Win probability 1X2

Memmingen (H) 36.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 27.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Vilzing (A) 36.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Memmingen face Vilzing in Germany - Regionalliga - Bayern on Friday, May 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Memmingen a 37% chance, the draw 27% and Vilzing 36%, so Memmingen are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Memmingen and 1.3 for Vilzing (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Memmingen are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.31 for Vilzing. This match finished 1-1.

Memmingen vs Vilzing Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - Bayern

Match Preview & Prediction

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