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Hertha Berlin B vs Altglienicke Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - Nordost

Nordost - 33 ·Friday, May 8, 2026, 17:00

Hertha Berlin B

PPG 1.40 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Altglienicke

PPG 1.53 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 2.9 puts the goal expectation above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.3%0-18.3%0-26.6%0-33.5%0-4+1.9%1 1-07.2%1-111.4%1-29.0%1-34.7%1-4+2.6%2 2-04.9%2-17.7%2-26.1%2-33.2%2-4+1.8%3 3-02.2%3-13.5%3-22.8%3-31.5%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-01.0%4+-11.6%4+-21.3%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 34.9% — — —

Draw 25.4% — — —

Away win 39.7% — — —

Over 2.5 59.3% — — —

Over 3.5 33.9% — — —

BTTS 58.8% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 36 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 61%

O2.5 64%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 47%

ROI 9.8%

Bet Hit 71%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 42%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob58.8%

A 40% / xG 1.4-1.6 / O2.5 59% / BTTS 59%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1✓ 11.4%

#2 1–2 9.0%

#3 2–1 7.7%

#4 0–0 5.3%

#5 0–1 8.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Hertha Berlin B1.4

Altglienicke1.6

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.3% · O3.5 PROB 33.9%

Form & verdict PPG

HERTHA BERLIN B · PPG 1.40

ALTGLIENICKE · PPG 1.53

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.40), Away GOOD (1.53)

Win probability 1X2

Hertha Berlin B (H) 34.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 25.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Altglienicke (A) 39.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Hertha Berlin B face Altglienicke in Germany - Regionalliga - Nordost on Friday, May 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Hertha Berlin B a 35% chance, the draw 25% and Altglienicke 40%, so Altglienicke are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Hertha Berlin B and 1.6 for Altglienicke (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Hertha Berlin B are averaging 1.40 points per game versus 1.53 for Altglienicke. This match finished 1-1.

Hertha Berlin B vs Altglienicke Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - Nordost

Match Preview & Prediction

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