Today / Germany - Regionalliga - Nordost / Hallescher vs Carl Zeiss Jena

Hallescher vs Carl Zeiss Jena Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - Nordost

Nordost - 33 ·Friday, May 8, 2026, 17:00

Hallescher logo
Hallescher
PPG 2.19 · HOME
0 – 2
FULL TIME
✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5
Carl Zeiss Jena logo
Carl Zeiss Jena
PPG 1.69 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 2.9 puts the goal expectation above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.2%0-16.9%0-24.6%0-32.0%0-4+0.9%1 1-08.5%1-111.3%1-27.4%1-33.3%1-4+1.4%2 2-07.0%2-19.2%2-26.1%2-32.7%2-4+1.2%3 3-03.8%3-15.0%3-23.3%3-31.4%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-02.2%4+-12.9%4+-21.9%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.4%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 44.5%
Draw 26.9%
Away win 28.6%
Over 2.5 59.3%
Over 3.5 34.1%
BTTS 58.8%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

League track record

Based on 36 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 61%
O2.5 64%
BTTS 56%
Score Hit 47%
ROI 9.8%
Bet Hit 71%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 46%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 0-2
xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob58.8%

H 44% / xG 1.6-1.3 / O2.5 59% / BTTS 59%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.3%
#2 2–1 9.2%
#3 1–2 7.4%
#4 2–0 7.0%
#5 0–0 5.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Hallescher1.6
Carl Zeiss Jena1.3

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.3% · O3.5 PROB 34.1%

Form & verdict PPG

HALLESCHER · PPG 2.19

CARL ZEISS JENA · PPG 1.69

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.19) > Away GOOD (1.69)

Win probability 1X2

Hallescher (H) 44.5%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 26.9%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Carl Zeiss Jena (A) 28.6%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Hallescher face Carl Zeiss Jena in Germany - Regionalliga - Nordost on Friday, May 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Hallescher a 45% chance, the draw 27% and Carl Zeiss Jena 29%, so Hallescher are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Hallescher and 1.3 for Carl Zeiss Jena (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Hallescher are averaging 2.19 points per game versus 1.69 for Carl Zeiss Jena. This match finished 0-2.

PredictVantage

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