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Germany - Frauen Bundesliga logo Germany flag Germany - Frauen Bundesliga Regular Season - 25 Max-Morlock-Stadion· Nuremberg Friday, May 8, 2026 16:30
Nurnberg W logo Nurnberg W PPG 0.83
3-0 MISS
SGS Essen W logo SGS Essen W PPG 0.58
Over3.5· +11.8% ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
60% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 49.3%
Odds: 2.20 EV: +8.5%
Draw 25.6%
Odds: 3.55 EV: -5.5%
Away 25.1%
Odds: 2.80 EV: -17.8%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 61.7% Odds: 1.62 -0.1%
Over 3.5 44.7% Odds: 2.50 +11.8%
BTTS 58.8% Odds: 1.50 -11.8%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-1
3rd 2-0
4th 2-2
5th 1-2

Expected Goals (xG)

Nurnberg W
2.02
SGS Essen W
1.40

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -0.1% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-0.1%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
60%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.83), Away POOR (0.58)

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