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Croatia - First NL logo Croatia flag Croatia - First NL Regular Season - 30 Stadion Branko Cavlovic-Cavlek· Karlovac Friday, May 8, 2026 15:45
Karlovac logo Karlovac PPG 1.87
0-3 MISS
Rudes logo Rudes PPG 1.43
Home· +81.5% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value
52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 36.3%
Odds: 5.00 EV: +81.5%
Draw 28.2%
Odds: 3.10 EV: -7.5%
Away 35.5%
Odds: 1.65 EV: -41.4%
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 45.8% Odds: 2.20 +0.8%
Over 3.5 16.2% Odds: 4.00 -21.1%
BTTS 50.8% Odds: 1.95 -0.9%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 0-0
3rd 1-0
4th 0-1
5th 2-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Karlovac
1.06
Rudes
1.04

Model Suggestion

BTTS -0.9% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -0.9% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Home (+81.5%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record

Based on 42 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 52%
O2.5/Under 45%
BTTS/No 36%
Score Hit 38%
ROI 22.5%
Bet Hit 62% (13 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.87) > Away AVERAGE (1.43)

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